Casualties reported after a zion*st drone targeted a motorcycle between Maaroub and Barish in South Lebanon.

Preemptive Logic: zion*st colony’s Road to War with Lebanon
There are growing signs that renewed zion*st aggression against Lebanon is more likely than ever. Several key factors point in that direction.

First, the colony’s new security doctrine is built around risk avoidance. It no longer relies solely on political or intelligence assessments of an enemy’s intent or capacity. Instead, it acts preemptively based on perceived threats. As long as the Israeli entity believes that Hezbollah still possesses military and combat capabilities, it treats the resistance as an active threat. As a result, the option to strike Hezbollah remains on the table, only held back by political, military, and logistical considerations.

Second, the zion*st entity views Hezbollah as Iran’s closest ally, ideologically, organizationally, and politically. It considers Hezbollah’s survival tightly linked to the Iranian regime’s fate. This makes Hezbollah a threat that must be dealt with before it becomes active. But doing so, however, depends on timing and implementation.

Third, the Israeli entity fears that if its war on Iran fails to achieve its goals, Hezbollah and other allied resistance forces in Palestine, Iraq, and Yemen, will adopt a new strategy – and may therefore see an opportunity to recover the significant losses sustained over the past 20 months. This alone could push Israel to act preemptively against Hezbollah, especially if it sees the current ceasefire framework threatened.

Fourth, the Israeli occupation believes that if the war delivers a decisive blow to Iran’s regional role, it may try to capitalize on that by turning to Lebanon. This would likely involve renewed strikes against Hezbollah and pressure on the Lebanese state to enforce measures left unresolved after previous conflicts. The failure of US-backed efforts to disarm the resistance and normalize ties with Israel adds even more urgency to this strategy.

Fifth, the Israeli enemy may also try to weaken Hezbollah by creating internal stability. Targeting the resistance’s support base is a way to apply pressure and stir political tensions, thus reducing Hezbollah’s readiness if war breaks out.

But is Hezbollah ready to take the initiative of entering the war, in support of Iran, as it did with Palestine?

In truth, now is not the time to make assumptions, and speculations only serve troublemakers.

For now, it would be more sensible for the public to step aside from ongoing debates about Hezbollah’s intentions. Rules have changed, and silence says more than any statement.

For now, Hezbollah’s next move remains uncertain.

Al Akhbar report